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Black Swan
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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Thei ...Celý popis
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Tisíce overených recenziíPodrobné informácie
| ISBN | 9780141034591 |
|---|---|
| Autor | Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
| Vazba | brožovaná |
| Vydavatel | Penguin Books |
| Počet strán | 444 |
| Rok vydania | 28.2.2008 |
| Jazyk | Angličtina |
| Stav | Dobrý (použitá) |
Popis knihy
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty. Sdílet 0